By Lorddenning QB
DPP would like to shoot the down the legislation exercise of an enabling Act for 50%+1 law, which the Concourt ruled that it what section 84(2) of the Constitution says.
In order for 50%+1 to operate, it requires supporting laws enshrined in the Parliamentary and Presidential Elections (PPE) Act to provide for Re-run where no candidate polls the majority vote during the first round. The legislation, which the Parliament is seized to come up with shall outline how the Re-run shall be conducted (including specifying time frames).
However, the DPP has indicated in its Notice of Appeal that it is against what the Concourt interpreted. The 50%+1 issue is challenged in the appeal and forms one of the grounds of the said appeal.
However, DPP has now embraced the fact that their judicial adventure has almost zero chances of succeeding and now for them to achieve the contest against 50%+1 saga, they need to fight it out in the Parliament.
In the 2019 polls, the DPP scored 62 seats in the Parliament. Although this is the highest among all contesting parties, it does not form the majority of the house. MCP scored 55 (+1 for By-election) seats, while UDF, PP and UTM scored 10, 5 and 4 respectively. Aford scored 1 seat while 55 seats were won by Independent MPs.
Out of the 193 seats in the House, the DPP needed to have a minimum of 97 MPs voting in favor of its agenda to achieve its fight in the Parliament.
Between courting UTM with 4 MPs, and UDF with 10 MPs, DPP has opted for 10MPs to significantly narrow the margin between its current size to the 97 votes threshold. The DPP further calculates to scout the others from the Independent bloc, some of whom are already pre-DPP but were simply frustrated during their party primaries and ended up competing on Independent ticket.
But when we check at Presidential votes, UTM scored far ahead of UDF. But the DPP has preferred Parliamentary statistics than potential presidential votes that its partner would bring forth.
This is carrying a significant pointer: The DPP seeks to maintain the present Electoral law regime and probably the current MEC Commission so that they try a second round of rigging – knowing that is the only and the only route they can find themselves declared winners.
However, we should also direct our minds to the fact that these elections were rigged and figures were distributed according to the wishes of the schemers of the rigging (which are DPP and MEC). It could be very possible that in actual sense, UDF polled much higher than UTM even at the Presidential level. Only the schemers of the rig know the entire truth. We only know the occurrence of the rig.
But will its ultimate mission be accomplished? I will append my doubt to my answer.